Opinion | The author's opinion does not necessarily reflect Sarah Palin's view.
CNN’s senior political data analyst expressed astonishment at the increasing support for former President Donald Trump among black Americans, reaching historic levels for a Republican contender in the modern era.
Trump’s notable gains with black voters were highlighted, with a significant shift observed from Biden to Trump among this demographic in battleground states like Georgia and Wisconsin.
“I keep looking for this to change, to go back to a historical norm, and it, simply put, has not yet,” analyst Harry Enten said. “So this is the margin, or, Biden and Trump among black voters, compare where we were at this point in 2020, compare to where we are now.
CNN political analyst "speechless" over the amount of black voters flocking to Trump and leaving brain-dead Biden.
Don't let the neo-Marxist 'democrat' liars tell you it's not happening. It IS happening. pic.twitter.com/w8r6dOABi1
— USA Features Media (@UsaFeatures) June 17, 2024
“At this point, look at this. In 2020, Joe Biden was getting 86% of the African American vote. Look at where it is now. It’s 70%, that’s a 16-point drop, John,” he added.
“And more than that, it’s not just that Joe Biden is losing ground. It’s that Donald Trump is gaining ground. You go from 7%, single-digits at this point in 2020, to now 21%, and again, John, I keep looking for signs that this is going to go back to normal, and I don’t see it yet in the polling of anything right now. We’re careening towards a historic performance for a Republican presidential candidate, the likes of which we have not seen in six decades.”
The analyst emphasized Biden’s declining popularity among younger black voters, contributing to the changing landscape of black voter preferences and the potential implications for the upcoming elections.
“This is where we get very interesting,” Enten said. “So I decided to deep dive deeper into the cross tabs, figure out where is it that Joe Biden is truly struggling among black voters. All right, so this is black voters, Biden versus Trump margin. Look at black voters age fifty and older, and you’ll see it. Look, Joe Biden was leading amongst this group at this point by 83 points back in 2020. Now, it’s 74 points, so yeah, a slight decline in that margin, but nothing out of this world.”
“Look at black voters under the age of 50,” Enten said. “Holy cow, folks, holy cow. Look at this. Joe Biden was up by 80 points among this group back at this point in 2020; look at where that margin has careened down. It’s now just, get this: 37 points. That lead has dropped by more than half.
“I’ve just never seen anything like this. I’m like speechless because you always look at history and you go, ‘okay, this is a historic moment.’ If this polling is anywhere near correct, we’re looking at a historical moment right now, where black voters under the age of 50, which have historically been such a big part of the democratic coalition, are leaving in droves,” he added.
“It’s partially an artifact of Donald Trump perhaps being better liked among black voters, but it’s also a real artifact of Joe Biden being significantly less liked among black voters than he was four years ago,” Enten said.
